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Trains to/from Forest Hill and Honor Oak Park
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michael


Posts: 3,261
Joined: Mar 2005
Post: #641
12-11-2009 05:06 PM

gingernuts wrote:
I take this to mean that the Victoria loop that goes from LB to Victoria via Forest Hill will cease to exist.


No. This effect the South London Line via Peckham, not via Crystal Palace. We should not be effected by these changes.

The RUS from 2008 shows peak morning trains running to Victoria from Forest Hill and there are no reasons to suppose this has changed. The South London Loop Line was not shown in the RUS.

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nasaroc


Posts: 144
Joined: Jun 2005
Post: #642
12-11-2009 05:14 PM

Those who believe that the retention of the South London line (SLL) service would have no effect on our local services should examine statements from the group campaigning to retain the SLL. They recognised immediately when the SLL was first under threat that retaining their service meant that ?our? loop line from LB to Victoria would have to be scrapped. Here is a fraction of their statement of evidence to Network Rail and TfL:


?The London Bridge-Crystal Palace-Victoria service is an inefficient use of resources, as it runs via stations already very well served by other lines and does not carry many people from (say) Clapham Junction or Balham to London Bridge. We do not see the rationale for this service at all. ?.. As such we can keep 2 trains per hour SLL service to London Bridge in return for withdrawing the Crystal Palace service.?

So come on Tam!

Here?s the damning evidence straight from the horse?s mouth. Please make a clear and unequivocal statement on SE23. Do you or do you not support retention of the SLL ? and the aims of the group fighting for reinstatement of the line ? an outcome which would automatically entail axing of our loop line?

Once we are clear on you and your colleague?s attitudes to this damaging campaign, we can then deal with the threat faced to our services by the campaign to open up the line from Bellingham to Victoria.

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gingernuts


Posts: 505
Joined: Nov 2007
Post: #643
12-11-2009 05:34 PM

Southern didnt explicitly say the loop was going, but that was what I deduced from them saying they would no longer operate the Victoria/Clapham route and that the Overground would instead be extending services to Clapham and the west. I also deduced that the Overground will not be going to London Bridge. Clearly if this is the proposal,the route to Clapham from London Bridge will be via Peckham. That means no loop.

Seems obvious to me. Of course you can always talk to them yourself.

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gingernuts


Posts: 505
Joined: Nov 2007
Post: #644
12-11-2009 05:42 PM

Michael, I suspect you have been mislead.

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nasaroc


Posts: 144
Joined: Jun 2005
Post: #645
12-11-2009 07:03 PM

Gingernuts - Just consider one simple fact.

The loop line makes up two out of the six morning peak hours trains taking passengers from FH to LB and back again - and two out of 4 of the proposed trains per hour operating throughout the rest of the day.

Are you seriously suggesting that once the ELL extension to Clapham Jct is constructed, our trains to and from LB will be cut to 4tph morning peak and 2tph for all of the remainder of the day including the evening rush hours?

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michael


Posts: 3,261
Joined: Mar 2005
Post: #646
12-11-2009 08:06 PM

http://www.networkrail.co.uk/browse%20do...%20rus.pdf
The Victoria service from Forest Hill is detailed on page 77
Scrapping the South London Line is addressed on page 6 and 97

The Bellingham to Victoria service was included in the RUS (see page 6) but would not start until 2012 when the SLL would cease to run. Provision has been made in the timetable for both the Bellingham and the Crystal Palace loop to run into Victoria. I do not see that there is any conflict between Forest Hill to Victoria services and Bellingham to Victoria services.

Nasaroc is correct that there probably is a conflict between SLL and FH services at London Bridge after 2012, when capacity is reduced at London Bridge and we can expect to lose some of our peak morning services into London Bridge regardless. However, before they cut our services further they intend to extend all the platforms on our line to cope with 10 carriage trains, and for the SLL they were planning to implement ELL and Bellingham-Victoria services. I see no reason why we should not support the campaign for Bellingham-Victoria services, and I hope they will support our campaign for 6tph in the evening peak (and through the day), as well as our late evening services to Victoria.

After 2015, when the Thameslink work is completed we will also benefit from direct services to Kings Cross from Forest Hill!

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NewForester


Posts: 379
Joined: Feb 2008
Post: #647
12-11-2009 08:16 PM

According to the Route Utilisation Strategy document (RUS), the South London Line (SLL) carries far fewer passengers than any of the others which run into London Bridge and Victoria and the capacity is needed by other trains, so to argue that our loop service (which carries more people) should be cut is self defeating. The plan is to replace this SLL in 2012 by another branch of the East London Line running from Surrey Quays to Clapham Junction; passengers will be able to get to London Bridge by changing at Peckham Rye.

The RUS also highlights the changes upto 2010

Quote:
There are three significant challenges in the short term and these are interlinked.

The initial challenge is the commencement of construction work on the Thameslink programme at Blackfriars. The infrastructure changes here will result in a rolling stock cascade across the RUS area. This will be caused by the non-availability of platforms 1-3, requiring all services into Blackfriars to continue to operate northwards, resulting in an increase in the use of scarce dual voltage rolling stock. Implementation of this scheme is planned for early 2009. As a result, many stations will benefit from new direct journey opportunities beyond Blackfriars.

The second challenge is the opening of the East London Line extension (ELLX) to West Croydon and Crystal Palace. This scheme will provide significant capacity and new journey opportunities and is expected to be warmly welcomed by those benefiting from it. However it is incompatible with the current timetable structure and a major recast of services across the whole of the suburban area and Brighton Main Line will be necessary before ELL services can run. Much of the timetable development work undertaken for the RUS has sought to maximise the capacity that can be provided, responding to a range of peak crowding issues, rather than just fitting in the new ELL services. This new timetable will be introduced upon opening of the ELLX by mid 2010.

The third challenge is the introduction of a revised timetable structure on Southeastern routes from December 2009, in conjunction with implementation of domestic services to St Pancras on High Speed One. Southeastern?s original franchise commitments required them significantly to reduce suburban capacity on routes to Charing Cross at this time. However, the draft RUS highlighted that this would exacerbate already severe overcrowding and recommended that some additional services be run. The Department for Transport has since agreed with Southeastern that they maintain services at broadly current levels into established terminals.

The combined effect of the above is that most passengers will experience significant changes in train timetables between now and 2010, generally maintaining at least current levels of service, with some areas seeing major improvements.

The difference between our campaign and the SLL campaign is that Southern stated in their reply to the RUS consultation that

Quote:
There has been very high peak growth on the Sydenham route to London Bridge where, comparing 2006 with 2005, a 14% increase in capacity was outstripped by a 20% increase in demand. ... Given that most passengers on this route wish to travel to the City of London or the West End and given the existing severe crowding, the wisdom of running additional 4 car trains on the ELL has to be questioned and can only be efficient if it is impossible to run extra trains to London Bridge or beyond. A way needs to be found to achieve 8 trains per hour to Central London from the Sydenham line at the height of the peak.

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nasaroc


Posts: 144
Joined: Jun 2005
Post: #648
12-11-2009 11:30 PM

Michael and New Forester - Many thanks for clarifying some of the points about the SLL.

So having established that the reinstatement of the SLL will hugely damage our local rail services, will Tam Langley (who after all is aiming to represent many commuters along our line) make it clear on SE23 that she does not support the aims of the campaign to save the South London Line?

Does Tam have any regrets in pressing the London Mayor in public to reinstate the SLL - an action that has helped to condemn her potential future constituents and local community to cuts in their rail services?

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NewForester


Posts: 379
Joined: Feb 2008
Post: #649
13-11-2009 04:24 PM

The retention of the South London Line was debated in Parliament on Remembrance Day.

This debate explains quite clearly why the SLL is to be cut. Chris Mole (Parliamentary Under-Secretary, Department for Transport; Ipswich, Labour) stated

Quote:
The current service operates every 30 minutes in each direction between London Victoria and London Bridge [via Peckham Rye], and it is operated by two-car trains through most of the day, with four-car trains provided in the morning peak period. It provides the only service for Wandsworth Road and Clapham High Street stations, with all other stations on the line being served by other train services. These services on the South London line, although busy in peak periods, do not have a material crowding problem. Indeed, the latest "passenger in excess of capacity" figures for autumn 2008 show fewer passengers than overall capacity on all trains.
...
The reason for the diversion of the South London line between Peckham Rye and London Bridge is that that line carries the smallest number of passengers into London Bridge of all the services into London Bridge. Typically in the morning peak period, some 350 people are on each of the South London line trains arriving at London Bridge between 8 am and 9 am. The evening peak loadings are significantly lower than that.


He also covers the Victoria-Bellingham service

Quote:
The original plan, as consulted on by Network Rail as part of the South London route utilisation strategy?or RUS?document, was to divert the South London line service away from London Bridge. That would have created a new Victoria to Bellingham service south of Catford, where sidings exist to allow trains on that service to terminate.
...
The south London route utilisation strategy highlighted the potential benefits that the extension of the East London line to Clapham Junction would bring to this area of south London in providing new orbital links to and from south, west, east, north and north-east London and reducing passenger congestion on London Bridge while rebuilding works were under way. However, despite a significant increase in the budget made available to them in recent years, TfL and the Mayor did not believe that the ?75 million scheme was affordable within the TfL budget.
...
The Department recognised that the East London line would deliver some additional benefits to passengers, and therefore accepted the responsibility to [extra funding]. TfL therefore proposed to fill the funding gap by withdrawing the replacement South London line service to Bellingham in its entirety from late 2012, with the money saved being diverted towards the capital costs of the East London line extension.


Listening to the LBC podcast, Tam's question actually related to the Victoria-Bellingham service, although she muddied the waters by mentioning SLL

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NewForester


Posts: 379
Joined: Feb 2008
Post: #650
13-11-2009 04:32 PM

However, Caroline Pidgeon, while mentioning Forest Hill (48:40), did campaign for the SLL... Sad

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nasaroc


Posts: 144
Joined: Jun 2005
Post: #651
13-11-2009 06:21 PM

The situation is very clear.

Local Liberal Democrats need to decide what they want to do.

They can either support the FH Society, Sydenham Society, Brockley Society, Telegraph Hill Society, HOPAG and their local communities in the fight against local rail cuts or support a campaign in some other part of south-east London to reinstate the South London Line which will decimate our local services.

You can't do both.

So please make a choice.

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gingernuts


Posts: 505
Joined: Nov 2007
Post: #652
13-11-2009 07:20 PM

Well said nasaroc!

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Sherwood


Posts: 1,414
Joined: Mar 2005
Post: #653
13-11-2009 07:25 PM

Do we have more voters than our competitors?

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nasaroc


Posts: 144
Joined: Jun 2005
Post: #654
14-11-2009 01:54 AM

Alex Feakes and Tam Langley both have 100% of voters in their constituencies interested in having a good rail service serving stations from Anerley to New Cross Gate and approximately zero voters interested in running a loop line calling at Peckham Rye if it means our own loop line is axed.

If I wanted to be elected as MP for Lewisham West or Lewisham Deptford, I'd be rushing to acknowledge that I'd made a mistake.

Don't spend too long deciding whether you want to support your local community will you guys!

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NewForester


Posts: 379
Joined: Feb 2008
Post: #655
16-11-2009 02:52 PM

According to London Reconnections

Quote:
TfL are believed to have proposed two options to make this possible - an option for 2tph terminating at London Bridge itself, or 2tph that stop there then run through to Charing Cross.

While on paper this may be attractive, TfL themselves have previously admitted that there is no scope for additional services to London Bridge whilst the Thameslink Project is ongoing. Pursuing this option, therefore, would likely require either main South London Services or the London Bridge - Sydenham service to lose services in order to provide paths.

While this is just one of the options being considered, it does make the additional threat to our services very real

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nasaroc


Posts: 144
Joined: Jun 2005
Post: #656
16-11-2009 05:34 PM

New Forester - Many thanks for this information. Statements like the one above really do make me very anxious for the future of our local services.

We clearly are in a situation where demanding entirely new lines elsewhere in south London poses a very real threat to our own services.

For some reason, neither Alex Feakes or Tam Langley want to make clear their views on the subject on this forum despite having both been involved in supporting the South London Line campaign and the new line from Bellingham to Victoria. Could Alex and Tam please let us know:

a. Do they support the SLL campaign?
b. Do they support the Bellingham to Victoria campaign?

If they support either campaign, can they then explain how these lines can be implemented without posing a high risk to other services in our constituency such as the loop line to Victoria and services from Penge East /Sydenham Hill to Victoria in the south of the LW constituency?

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rbmartin


Posts: 1,092
Joined: Nov 2007
Post: #657
16-11-2009 05:52 PM

If the SLL does win a reprieve, it almost looks certain we'd lose 2 per hour of our Southern trains, probably the LB to Vic via Crystal Palace service, seeing as we'll have 8ph to Dalston which on the whole are useless to us unless you're travelling locally or via Canada Water or Whitechapel to London which takes longer.

Looking at the other Southern services from LB, there is the LB to Beckenham Junction service which runs via East Dulwich Mon to Sat only, but I can't see our neighbours standing for that being axed leaving them with trains every 30 mins.

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michael


Posts: 3,261
Joined: Mar 2005
Post: #658
16-11-2009 06:25 PM

The big question for me is how TfL can consider running SLL to Charing Cross while FH services cannot run on this line (at least in the late evenings and Sundays - just as they do for the next 27 days).

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nasaroc


Posts: 144
Joined: Jun 2005
Post: #659
16-11-2009 07:37 PM

RB Martin - I agree fully with your concern that a reprieve for the SLL would mean disaster for our local services.

One way that we can help to ensure that the SLL does not rear its ugly head is to ask local politicians who have been pushing to have this and other new lines resurrected to please stop campaigning for these new services and to fight for the interests of their local communities rather than those in Peckham Rye or Bellingham.

I simply do not understand why these politicians are unwilling to simply say "No, we don't support these campaigns" rather than maintaining a deathly silence.

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rbmartin


Posts: 1,092
Joined: Nov 2007
Post: #660
16-11-2009 07:52 PM

It was bad enough when we lost our daytime off-peak services to CX which I think was back in 1995/96 when Connex took over the franchise, although the pain was lessened when we got the metro style service of 6ph to London Bridge.

With the new Oyster pay as you go prices being announced, it's more than likely I'll continue to use Southern services to London Bridge to go to work instead of the Overground as it'll be cheaper than using the TfL services.

On the other hand, trips to Croydon will be much easier when we get 6ph to Croydon (2 EC, 4 WC) instead of getting the 197 bus which takes ages.

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